Task 2.2

Develop and apply probabilistic forecast and analysis techniques to quantify variability and uncertainty due to initial and boundary conditions, predictability limits, predictive capabilities, and operational risks. Apply Bayesian and other ML methods to estimate and predict ocean variables from observations and to improve existing ocean modeling systems.

P. Lermusiaux, O. Zavala-Romero, D. Dukhovskoy, E. Chassignet, B. Cornuelle, and R. He in collaboration with NRL and NOAA